I tried to apply a median filter on the images but this didn't help. The predictions are still total gibberish. I decided to try to do some statistics on the simulated and real datasets and compare them. Maybe the problem is that the real dataset needs normalization of some kind.
I also spent some time on researching the topic of increasing the depth of the network and I stumbled upon some interesting derivations of the U-Net architecture:
I should look into these architectures if preprocessing proves to be the wrong path forward.
Right now I'm trying to see if decreasing the number of color values in the images would increase the effectivenes of the net. I'm weighting whether it would be better to quantize to a given small set of possible color values or just to quantize so that the resulting color space fits to an integer of a given precision. I should probably just try both options and see which one gets me better results.
I also think that I should try to decrease amount of examples to something really low (like 3) and see whether the net can fit to that. If it won't fit then we really need to look into the color space compression.
I decreased the image count to 9 and nothing meaningful came out of this. I think it's a good idea to look into how the values of the network predictions look like after passing them through the sigmoid. This will at least tell us whether the net returns some learned values or just zeroes everywhere or a direct copy-paste of whatever it sees in the image.